Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.048257 0.056286 0.065109 0.075506 0.087404 0.100577 0.116246
2025-05-04 0.035581 0.045900 0.058291 0.074195 0.093988 0.117726 0.148260
2025-05-11 0.027554 0.038861 0.053538 0.073822 0.100937 0.135719 0.183461
2025-05-18 0.021377 0.032703 0.048476 0.071762 0.104916 0.150010 0.215470
2025-05-25 0.017075 0.028136 0.044555 0.070273 0.108995 0.164440 0.248937
2025-06-01 0.014299 0.025207 0.042357 0.070677 0.115477 0.182575 0.289245
2025-06-08 0.011708 0.022020 0.039148 0.068882 0.118143 0.195071 0.322227
2025-06-15 0.010574 0.021046 0.039288 0.072345 0.129319 0.221497 0.378939
2025-06-22 0.009100 0.019168 0.037556 0.072322 0.134604 0.238901 0.422783
2025-06-29 0.007639 0.017023 0.034983 0.070383 0.136237 0.250250 0.457493
2025-07-06 0.006557 0.015414 0.033132 0.069446 0.139408 0.264323 0.497850
2025-07-13 0.006122 0.015070 0.033665 0.073065 0.151263 0.294557 0.568829
2025-07-20 0.005609 0.014487 0.033673 0.075741 0.161810 0.323747 0.641187
2025-07-27 0.004773 0.013000 0.031563 0.073818 0.163167 0.336139 0.684022
2025-08-03 0.004158 0.011914 0.030148 0.073144 0.166917 0.353348 0.737343
2025-08-10 0.003534 0.010672 0.028174 0.070954 0.167224 0.363821 0.778547
2025-08-17 0.003044 0.009671 0.026593 0.069407 0.168676 0.376615 0.825282
2025-08-24 0.002724 0.009068 0.025880 0.069770 0.174318 0.398378 0.891707
2025-08-31 0.002345 0.008206 0.024366 0.067978 0.174857 0.409473 0.937071
2025-09-07 0.002235 0.008136 0.024916 0.071390 0.187819 0.448171 1.043233
2025-09-14 0.001999 0.007616 0.024164 0.071362 0.192597 0.469416 1.113793
2025-09-21 0.001728 0.006911 0.022770 0.069445 0.192551 0.479903 1.161786
2025-09-28 0.001523 0.006382 0.021795 0.068518 0.194843 0.495841 1.223002